Episode notes
Alf and Brent discuss the weak labor market data and the likely Fed reaction function. The duo also reflects on how you might be right on the macro idea, but market pricing at inception of your trade matters sometimes more than whether you were directionally right or wrong.
The Macro Trading Floor
by Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly · English · Business
The Macro Trading Floor is a fun and actionable macro and markets podcast hosted by Alfonso Peccatiello and Brent Donnelly. If you are looking for banter, financial education, and actionable trade ideas this is the podcast for you!
More from The Macro Trading Floor
-
6 Sep 2025 · 33 min
Cracks In The US Labor Market - What Next?
Alf and Brent discuss the recent NFP print and its implications for markets. They also reflect on the right framework to apply to RSI and options when dealing with asset classes having skewed return distributions.
-
29 Aug 2025 · 29 min
The Truth Behind Fiscal Dominance
Alf and Brent discuss the latest attempt from Trump to gain more control over the Fed, and the implications this might have on multiple asset classes. They also discuss the JPY and the political situation in France.
-
23 Aug 2025 · 35 min
Run It Hot Hot Hot
Alf and Brent discuss the surprising Jackson Hole speech in which Powell opened up to interest rate cuts already in September. Markets are reacting strongly, but the real question is what should we expect if Trump runs the economy hot alongside a dovish Fed in 2026?
-
1 Aug 2025 · 32 min
The Tariff Mismatch Theory
Alf and Brent discuss the sharp USD repricing and the market positioning for a mild tariff impact on the US economy - what if we get a surprising slowdown over the next few months instead?
-
25 Jul 2025 · 37 min
Carry & Options In A Trump World
Alf and Brent discuss the recent clashes between the Trump administration and the Fed, the more friendly deal-making stance on tariff deals, and how to use options when trying to capture convex moves and incorporate carry into your thinking.
-
9 Oct 2026 · 41 minNew
6% Yields Next & Will Stonks Handle It?
Alf and Brent discuss the relentless bond yield and USD move. Can we get to 6% yields in the US, or even higher? And will stonks be able to handle it?
-
2 Oct 2026 · 39 min
Macro Blowups Everywhere - What Now?
Alf and Brent are back to discuss the various macro blowups we are witnessing simultaneously: French spreads, front-end of the bond market, mortgage-backed securities, EM carry and so on. What's the best framework to apply for each of these?
-
28 Aug 2026 · 36 min
On Bessent, Gold & Idiosyncratic Trades
Alf and Brent are back to discuss the Bessent buyback plan and its impact on markets. The duo focuses on gold, the long-end and the USD as potential release valves. The discussion then moves to two macro idiosyncratic ideas.
-
9 Aug 2026 · 37 min
On Sizing Options, The Fed and The JPY
In this episode, Alf and Brent talk about the Fed's likely reaction function to incoming data and the Bessent/Japan accord on the JPY. The duo then discusses one of the trickiest questions for macro PMs: when to use options, and how to size them?
-
31 Jul 2026 · 38 min
Warsh Woke Up The Bond Vigilantes
Alf and Brent discuss the significant market reaction to Warsh's press conference: the Fed handed over the keys to the bond market, and now Bond Vigilantes are in charge until data comes in to set the direction straight for everyone. How to handle such a market environment?
Take it with you
The Melo app keeps playing with the screen off, works in the car and on your watch, wakes you to your station, and browses the whole catalogue offline. Free, no ads, no account.
