Policy Intervention Is Keeping The Bull Market Alive | Weekly Roundup

12 Jun 2026 · 56 min

Play episode WhatsApp Download

Episode notes

Markets increasingly seem to respond more to intervention than fundamentals, raising a bigger question about what actually drives asset prices today. This week, we discuss how policy intervention, systematic flows, and AI-driven capital allocation are reshaping market behavior and investor positioning. We also explore volatility squeezes, Fed rate expectations, gold and oil, AI infrastructure spending, hyperscaler equity issuance, Bitcoin miners pivoting to AI, and the growing tension between technological progress and market centralization. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 05:11 Trump’s…

Podcast

Forward Guidance

Blockworks · Business · English

The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they en

More from Forward Guidance All episodes →

29 Jun 2026 · 45 min
How To Trade The New Warsh Fed | Bob Sheehan
Markets may be entering a fundamentally different monetary regime under Kevin Warsh. This week, Bob Sheehan of Lighthouse Macro joins to explain why the Fed's evolving framework could reshape how investors interpret policy, economic data, and market pricing. We discuss the end of the Fed put, rising rate volatility, Treasury curve dynamics, fiscal pressures, and why data-driven macro matters more than ever. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:04 Bob's Macro Background 09:21 Data-Driven Macro 13:13 The Fed Put Is Dead 16:46 Less Guidance, More Volatility 21:13 Why Data Matters Even More 25:35…
26 Jun 2026 · 1 hr
Is The Fed Panic Already Fading? | Weekly Roundup
The Fed scare that dominated markets may already be losing momentum. Now investors are asking what comes next as the AI trade, inflation picture, and market leadership evolve. This week, we break down why the Fed may be nearing the end of its hiking cycle, how AI investment is reshaping markets, and where capital is rotating next. We also discuss peak inflation, hyperscaler capex, market dispersion, active management, and why new leaders could replace the old winners. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:16 FIFA World Cup 04:24 Peak Hawkishness Fading 09:53 Oil, Gasoline, And Disinflation 12:28…
19 Jun 2026 · 1 hr 4 min
A New Era Is Beginning In Markets | Weekly Roundup
A new era at the Federal Reserve may be reshaping how markets think about rates, volatility, and the role of central banks. But is the market interpreting Kevin Warsh's first moves correctly? This week, we break down Warsh's first FOMC meeting, the end of traditional forward guidance, and why they believe peak hawkishness may already be behind us despite the Fed's messaging. We also discuss the AI capex boom, the future of Bitcoin and MicroStrategy, tightening liquidity, housing affordability, and whether markets are entering a fundamentally different regime. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro…
17 Jun 2026 · 40 min
The Warsh Fed Will Look Nothing Like Before | Joseph Wang
A new Fed chair has arrived, and the implications could be far bigger than a single rate decision. Joseph Wang, former Fed trader and creator of Fed Guy, joins Forward Guidance immediately after Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting to unpack what may be the beginning of a fundamental transformation of the Federal Reserve. We discuss Warsh’s hawkish debut, the end of the forward guidance era, sweeping Fed task forces, potential changes to the inflation framework, AI and productivity, and why all of this could point to a meaningful repricing of risk assets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 02:22…
12 Jun 2026 · 29 min
Blockworks Acquires Messari
In this special episode, Blockworks announces its acquisition of Messari and unpacks what it means for crypto’s next phase. Michael and Jason explore why Messari’s breadth of data, APIs, and research complement Blockworks’ deep on-chain analytics, investor relations, and disclosure products. They also address crypto’s trust problem, the need for standardized data and disclosures, and how Blockworks aims to become the trusted data layer connecting issuers, investors, exchanges, regulators, and AI agents in on-chain markets. Learn more:…
11 Jun 2026 · 52 min
Warsh Must Choose The Dollar Or The Bond Market | Luke Gromen
A seemingly simple Fed transition is becoming a massive stress test of the entire financial system as rising debt, inflation, and global energy crisis collide. Luke Gromen of Forest For The Trees joins to discuss Kevin Warsh’s looming challenge and why the Fed may soon face choices it can no longer avoid. We explore the dollar versus bond market tradeoff, the impact of the Iran conflict and oil prices, China’s growing leverage, financial warfare, swap lines, and what it all means for stocks, gold, Bitcoin, and global markets. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:50 Warsh’s First Fed Test 04:54…
3 Jun 2026 · 47 min
Why This Economy Refuses To Break | David Cervantes
While investors wait for a recession that never comes, AI spending and fiscal stimulus keep pouring fuel on the expansion. David Cervantes of Pinebrook Capital joins to explain how AI spending is reshaping the economy, profits, and traditional market dynamics. We also discuss productivity gains, consumer resilience, inflation risks, Fed policy, bond market reactions, energy markets, and David’s favorite international trade. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 01:59 AI Buildout Is Driving Macro 06:01 Profit Margins And Productivity 09:58 Supply Chains Shift To Resilience 13:13 Consumer Resilience…
29 May 2026 · 50 min
How To Trade The AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup
This week, we're back to discuss whether the economy is entering an AI driven productivity boom and what that means for markets. We deep dive into whether the Fed should actually be hiking rates, growing signs of consumer weakness, how we're thinking about positioning in this environment and more. Enjoy! -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (01:22) Should The Fed Be Hiking Rates? (07:53) The AI Productivity Boom (14:28) An Update On Market Structure (18:28) The Consumer Is Struggling (36:21) How To Trade This Market -- FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix…
21 May 2026 · 52 min
Can The AI Driven Rally Continue? | Weekly Roundup
This week, we're back to discuss the current AI driven market rally and wether or not it can continue. We then deep dive into the positive tailwinds for energy companies, the trillion dollar wave of IPO's in 2026, the bond market sell off, why active is outperforming and more. Enjoy! -- Timestamps: (00:00) Introduction (03:42) The Bond Market Sell Off (14:32) Can This Market Bubble Continue? (29:06) Why Active is Outperforming Passive (38:44) The Wave of Trillion Dollar IPOs -- FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn –…
15 May 2026 · 53 min
The Consumer Cushion Is Almost Gone | Weekly Roundup
Markets are partying like it’s 2021 again, but consumers are cracking, inflation is heating up, and policymakers may be losing control. This week, we unpack the AI-driven melt-up in equities, the hidden stress building across Main Street, and why hyperscaler debt, derivatives mania, and rising bond yields are creating an increasingly unstable macro backdrop. We also explore the consumer slowdown, Nvidia selling chips to China, tariff reversals, retail speculation, energy inflation, Fed paralysis, and the growing disconnect between capital markets and the real economy. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS:…

Take it with you

The Melo app keeps playing with the screen off, works in the car and on your watch, wakes you to your station, and browses the whole catalogue offline. Free, no ads, no account.