Podcast · Business

The HC Commodities Podcast

by Paul Chapman, HC Group · English · Business

Each day, around the world, we have fascinating one-on-one conversations with our connections in the commodities sector. Our collaborators are uniquely informed, creative and inspirational in their fields. We want to provide our community a seat alongside us, listening in to these conversations in t

New episodes: Weekly
Typical length: 49 min
Latest: 14 Oct 2026
Language: English

Latest episode

14 Oct 2026 · 4 minNew

HC Group's Q3 Market Review Ready to Download

HC Group's Q3 Market Review is ready for download - talent trends and moves from across the commodities sector.

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Earlier episodes 29 most recent

E329 · 13 Oct 2026 · 54 minNew
The Predictability Premium Part 2: winning and keeping the commercial mandate with Christian Lins
Today, we return for part two on the predictability premium - how trading organizations can boost valuations of the asset-backed organizations they're within. One of the major challenges in creating a commercial organization is translating that value to the board and addressing their questions. That's what we're tackling in part two today - how to win the mandate to build a commercial organization and how to maintain it. Our guest is Christian Lins, Partner at Oliver Wyman in their risk and trading practice, which he leads in North America, and Christian's based in Houston.
E328 · 6 Oct 2026 · 43 min
The Predictability Premium with Christian Lins (Part 1)
For commodity trading professionals, it now seems obvious that large global asset-backed producers, refiners, miners and processors should have some form of trading capability. The risks alone of having a stranded product, an unfulfilled short or being exposed to wild price swings justify it, let alone the profits, market access and intelligence these capabilities can generate. This view rarely translates to other divisions within the group, let alone to the board or shareholders. Commercial teams are seen as risky, consumers of cash and culturally suspect, while investors supposedly…
E327 · 29 Sep 2026 · 1 hr 3 min
Making Canada an Energy Superpower: Pipelines, Politics, and Capital with Adam Waterous
Recorded at the Canadian Crude Oil Conference on September 16 in Lake Louise, Alberta, Paul Chapman interviews Adam Waterous on the state of Canada's oil sector against a backdrop of worsening relations with the US and events in the Middle East. And what will it take to turn its enormous energy advantage into economic value. Adam is the founder, managing partner, and CEO of Watrous Energy Fund. Before founding Watrous Energy Fund in 2017, Adam spent more than two decades advising energy industry through Watrous & Co. and later Scotiabank. After spending much of his career advising others on…
E326 · 22 Sep 2026 · 52 min
The Four Horsemen of the Dieselpocalypse with Doomberg
Today, Doomberg returns to the show. We discuss cascading events in the Middle East, Ukraine and how the global hydrocarbon shortage has shifted from crude to refined products. As US lawmakers consider a diesel export ban, how bad could this get? Further, what does the crisis mean for the midterms, and is the AI power boom sustainable? Doomberg is an independent reader-supported publication primarily on Substack covering energy, finance, and geopolitics. It's one of the most widely read finance and energy newsletters on the platform, and their work sits at the intersection of energy,…
E325 · 15 Sep 2026 · 47 min
Powering AI: another shale story? with Hill Vaden
Data centers are the crucial rate limiting factor for the Hyperscaler's growth, and in turn, power supply is the rate limiting factor for those data centers. Who is financing that power infrastructure? How are they doing it? And indeed, what happens if there's a correction in the market or the flood of money leads to overcapacity? And what is the best analogy in historical capital cycles to examine this current infrastructure build out with? Our guest argues that it's the shale revolution. Joining me in my office in Houston is Hil Vaden, Executive Director over the Energy Capital Insights…
E324 · 8 Sep 2026 · 1 hr 1 min
Crisis, M&A and Trading: communicating commodities with Will Medvei
Crises, outsized returns, accusations of environmental damage, missing cargoes and all the rest: corporate communications is done on hard mode in the commodities sector. Why is the sector still largely defined by anomalous events, gripping books and not its successes? And why is it so important to get communications right, not just for companies and executive teams but for the sector as a whole? Especially as more and more large corporates are building commodity trading platforms. Why is it so hard to explain to investors and shareholders why trading matters? Our guest is Will Medvei,…
E323 · 1 Sep 2026 · 1 hr 28 min
A Song of Fire and Maybe Ice: Natural gas in 2026 with Emily Kyne
US Natural Gas is expected to do some heavy lifting in 2026 and beyond. Powering the huge growth in domestic data centers, filling European storage and bridging the gap presented by the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and the damage wreaked on Qatar LNG. Europe is banking on a mild winter. Producers would appreciate a cold one in the US after multiple years of historically warm ones. And El Niño has introduced a new dimension of volatility. Joining us to discuss the US Natural Gas market and its consequence for the world is Emily Kyne, Vice President of Commodity Strategy and Trade Analytics…
E322 · 26 Aug 2026 · 49 min
American Renewables: A Markets Story with Julie McLaughlin
The sector American renewables has undergone policy uncertainty, even whiplash. Challenging a sector already impacted by rising interest rates and infrastructure back-logs. Despite that, the renewable sector matches Europe in scale and continued to grow. Now, in a world of data centers and increasing power demand, is its fortune set to be reversed? Returning to the show, and this time in person, hence slightly different audio quality this time, is Julie McLaughlin, Managing Director and Partner at Alvarez & Marsal. Julie was last on the show in late 2023, calling for the imperative of…
E321 · 18 Aug 2026 · 54 min
Trapped in Hormuz: Total War or a New World Disorder? with Jeff Currie
Ultimately, the US faces a stark binary choice: defeat Iran or retreat. Both carry profound implications for the post-war Bretton Woods order that has shaped modern economies and the commodity flows that sustain them. Indeed, it is precisely those commodity flows that both define this binary choice and make commitment to either path so difficult. Jeff Currie, Co-Founder of 1947 Oil & Gas, returns to the show to unpack this stark reality, its consequences for the world, and why he decided to launch an oil and gas company.
E320 · 11 Aug 2026 · 47 min
Sand: The most important commodity in the modern world with Vince Beiser (Summer Repeat)
Sand has transformed modern civilization. It is the ubiquitous commodity; in our infrastructure, in our industry and even in our personal care products. Yet due to its characteristics, the supply chain is fragmented, disastrous for our environment and often corrupt. And by a tragic quirk of geometry, desert sand is unusable meaning we wreck our riverbeds and oceans to acquire it. In this episode, author and journalist Vince Beiser joins us to discuss sand and its role in the modern world. Vince is the author of The World in a Grain - the story of sand and how it transformed civilization.
E319 · 4 Aug 2026 · 53 min
The Coming El Niño with Michael Ferrari
Today, we discuss El Niño - the dramatic, periodic, shift in climate patterns, that depending on intensity and duration can have profound impacts on our world, economies, and the commodities sector. And as of right now, we are back in an El Niño and it is expected to be one of the strongest on records. What are the known impacts? And how might the state of the world today, with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exacerbate those impacts? And what could happen if we hit Super El Niño territory? Our guest is Michael Ferrari, head of research at Moby, an AI native investment platform targeted…
E318 · 29 Jul 2026 · 58 min
Real-Ekonomik: The Iran War's Longevity with Nick Kumleben
We return in a special episode to the Iranian-US war to discuss how "Real-Ekonomik" is shaping realpolitik. Nick Kumleben, Director at Greenmantle, the geopolitical risk and strategy consultancy, where Nick handles the energy and commodities portfolio, joins us to discuss the status of the war and its potential future track. We use commodities and more broadly economics to try and understand the strategies and positioning of the various participants and their allies. Who wants peace, who wants all-out war, if any and who is OK with the status quo for now.
E317 · 28 Jul 2026 · 55 min
Chip War: how semiconductors became the new oil with Chris Miller (summer repeat)
Semi-conductors, microchips, are the new oil - the scarce resource on which the modern world depends. Today, military, economic, and geopolitical power are built on a foundation of computer chips. This has only accelerated with the emergence of AI. Yet, the supply chain is incredibly concentrated with just a handful of countries and companies dominating. As with oil in the previous century, chips sit at the center of geopolitics, great-power rivalry and trade, especially between the US and China. How did chips become some crucial and their supply chains so concentrated and what does it mean…
E316 · 21 Jul 2026 · 1 hr 2 min
The Price of Money with Edward Chancellor (Summer Repeat)
Today, we are talking interest rates. The rate of interest, or the price of money, has a profound impact on the energy and commodities sector, influencing the cost of carry, the price of assets and investment decisions. The story we're about to tell is what happens to economies and societies and the energy and commodities sector when interest rates are unnaturally low, as after the global financial crisis. In this episode, recorded just prior to the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Credit Suisse in 2023, financial historian Edward Chancellor, joined us to discuss his book “The Price of…
E315 · 14 Jul 2026 · 42 min
Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections with Edl Schamiloglu (Summer Repeat)
In this episode, we discuss geomagnetic storms, extreme electromagnetic events known as coronal mass ejections that would destroy every satellite around the planet, wipe out power grids and most if not all of our electronics. The Carrington event that happened in 1859 destroyed the only electrical system at that point, the telegraph, across all of North America. An event such as that now would have catastrophic, even civilization-ending impacts. Scientists predict an event like the Carrington event happens every 100 to every 500 years. And the Carrington event is small compared to…
E314 · 7 Jul 2026 · 49 min
Whale Oil with Eric Jay Dolin (Summer Repeat)
In 1859, illumination throughout the major metropolises of the West was powered by whale oil. Whale oil was at the center of international trade (and trade disputes). Prices were at an all time high and great fortunes had been made. Yet, in that same year, Edwin Drake started the oil rush in Titusville, Pennsylvania…and every thing changed. Quickly. What lessons are there in this first energy transition in the modern era? In this episode we dig into the history of whaling and whale oil. Our guest is historian Eric Jay Dolan, author of Leviathan: A history of whaling in America. Eric takes us…
E313 · 30 Jun 2026 · 48 min
De-Dollarization, Debasement & Diversification: Precious Metals with Nicky Shiels
Today we discuss gold, silver and the platinum group metals. What drove the huge run-up in prices for all of them in 2025 and into 2026, and was the US-Iran war just a setback to those prices or the end of a bull market? Our guest is Nicky Shiels, Head of Research and Strategy for MKS Pamp, a global trading house and refiner for precious metals serving a diverse and global customer base.
E312 · 23 Jun 2026 · 55 min
Data Centers aren't the bubble with Eugene McGrane
Today we return to the subject of data centers. Are we in the midst of a huge AI bubble? And building over capacity in data centers that are destined to end up as dusty sheds in the middle of nowhere with huge power supplies attached, or are data centers the rate limiting factor and the crucial midstream of the future industrial age? Here to discuss bubbles and data centers is Eugene McGrane, Executive Managing Director at Cushman Wakefield, servicing all manner of clients with respect to real estate needs for the power and data center sectors.
E311 · 16 Jun 2026 · 48 min
Why is oil so cheap? With David Wech
Today, we return to the subject of oil and the impact of the Iran War. How have flows and demand changed and why are prices so relatively low? Is this a function of great PR work on behalf of the US Administration? Or is something else happening? Why, contrary to all expectations, oil prices remain relatively subdued? And how long can this go on for? Here to answer those questions is David Wech, Chief Economist at Vortexa, the energy and shipping data and analytics firm.
E310 · 9 Jun 2026 · 48 min
Digital Assets and the Blockchain Renaissance with Joe Miscioscia
Today, we return to digital assets, quant trading and blockchain infrastructure. Since we last checked in on the space in the wake of FTX's collapse, digital assets, crypto trading, blockchain infrastructure has recovered and gone mainstream. From major institutions and hedge funds having multiple desks to the rise of blockchain infrastructure in settlements and payments - not only in the commodities sector, but across all of industry. What are the latest trends? What is talent demand and for which disciplines? What is the intersection with the commodities sector? Our guest is Joe…
E309 · 2 Jun 2026 · 48 min
The Great CapEx Surge with Erikhans Kok
The world is shifting from asset light and infinitely scalable to asset heavy. Across the globe, trillions of dollars are going into assets. Capital expenditure is on the rise. What is driving this? What sectors are we seeing it in? What are the challenges and bottlenecks companies face in delivering on CapEx programs? And how do new technologies and approaches to talent overcome this? Our guest is Erikans Kok, Senior Partner at McKinsey where he leads their Capital Excellence Practice globally.
E308 · 26 May 2026 · 50 min
Unearthing Alpha with a Metals Hedge Fund, with Matt Heap
Today we return to the subject of hedge funds in commodities, and metals and mining in particular. How have hedge funds evolved with respect to commodities? What do investors and allocators think about with respect to commodities exposure and the types of investments they want to make? How do hedge funds go about a lasting edge in the commodities sector? And then why commodities and why, in particular, metals and mining? Our guest is Matt Heap, founder and CIO of Forth Fund Management, a sector specialist hedge fund dedicated to metals and mining, launching in Switzerland. Matt has had a…
E307 · 20 May 2026 · 47 min
No Peace, No War and No Flows with Aldo Spanjer
The conflict remains in suspended animation with little concrete progress to support the more optimistic assessments of a return to normality. Commodity markets are on a knife-edge and tanks and strategic supplies are emptying. Aldo Spanjer, Head of Commodity Strategy at BNP Paribas’ Markets 360 outlines the pathways from here. Will oil be at $70 or $200? Why does gas face larger risks in a prolonged disruption? And how to cut through the noise and focus on the signals??
E306 · 12 May 2026 · 43 min
Sulphurous Times with Meena Chauhan
Sulfur is a lynchpin commodity, connecting the oil and gas industry to food production and much more. Already in a structural supply deficit, now, nearly half the world’s internationally traded sulfur is off the market with the shutting down of the Strait of Hormuz. There is no clear line of sight as to how quickly supply could return with potentially catastrophic consequences for the world. What is sulphur (sulfur), how and where is it produced and what is it used for and why is the world not talking about this? Our guest is Meena Chauhan, Senior Manager for Sulphur and Sulphuric Acid,…
7 May 2026 · 51 min
Sanctions Strait Talk with David Tannebaum
The dark fleet was on the ropes with enforcement risking military boardings after Venezuelan oil sanctions started to be lifted. Then with the attack on Iran, business started booming again as ships and traders navigated the granting of licenses to Russian and Iranian Oil (for a time). Where are oil sanctions right now? What do they mean for traders and banks - especially the cost and risks? What room is there left to forge a deal with Iran like the former JCPOA? Sanctions and Maritime Compliance expert David Tannebaum, Director at Blackstone Compliance joined me in my Houston office…
E305 · 5 May 2026 · 38 min
Commodity Trading’s Bumper Q1 with Archie Hunter
Today, we have Archie Hunter, journalist at Bloomberg who covers commodities, joining the show to get his take on current events, as well as the recent FT Global Commodities Summit, and compare notes on the key trends that we're seeing. How the current volatility is driving trading house earnings and how too much volatility might cause some challenges but certainly is driving continued consolidation in the sector and why good times for them is not good times for our wallets.
E304 · 29 Apr 2026 · 1 hr 11 min
Escalation Impotence with Doomberg
Doomberg returns. The US is mired in a war that it, nor its allies, can afford to escalate. Exposing the fragility of the global economic order, underpinned by delicate energy infrastructure. China, long planning for that fragility, is strengthened and Russia is looking cornered and more dangerous as Ukraine attacks its energy infrastructure. OPEC is shattering. For Doomberg, World War 3 is very much under way and we are in an era of profound change. And maybe AI, the savior of the SP500, wont choose to save us. Doomberg is the largest dedicated energy & finance Substack powered…
E303 · 22 Apr 2026 · 40 min
Notes from the FT Global Commodities Summit with Paul Chapman
In this episode, host of the HC Commodities Podcast, Paul Chapman, shares his notes and reflections from the FT Global Commodities Summit, which he just attended in Lausanne, Switzerland. Drawing on panel discussions, on‑stage debates and informal conversations across the event, Paul explores the themes shaping today’s commodities markets across energy, metals and agriculture. From shifting supply‑chain models to rising geopolitical risk and the growing role of data and technology, the episode reflects on how market participants are adapting to a more fragmented and uncertain global…
15 Apr 2026 · 5 min
Announcements, Events and Q1 Reports
Register your interest for Bloomberg and HC Group's metals trading event: https://go.bloomberg.com/join/invite/metals-pricing-the-narrative-vs-pricing-the-physical/ Access HC Group’s Q1 Market Review: https://www.hcgroup.global/insights/market-reviews/access-q1-market-review-2026 Register for HC Talent Intelligence's Energy Trading Salary Report: https://www.hcgroup.global/reports

About The HC Commodities Podcast

The HC Commodities Podcast is a English business podcast from Paul Chapman, HC Group. Melo plays each episode straight from the publisher's own feed — no ads added, no account needed — and remembers where you stopped, in this browser only.

Publisher: Paul Chapman, HC Group
Language: English
Category: Business
New episodes: Weekly
Typical length: 49 min
Latest episode: 14 Oct 2026
Feed: RSS — paste into any podcast app
Apple Podcasts: podcasts.apple.com/podcast/id1512721188
Rights: 2026 HC Group

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